TEST

MESOSCALE OUTLOOK #84
STREAMWIZE STORM PREDICTION
405 AM CDT JUNE 11 2003

VALID 11/0905Z-11/01200Z

AREAS AFFECTED: AR/NW LA/NE TX

CONCERNING... CONVECTIVE TRENDS

DISCUSSION...

MESO-ANALYSIS REVEALS A COMPLEX SYNOPTIC SETUP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... A CONVETIVELY INDUCED BOW-HEAD LOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER EC OK... A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM WESTERN TN... ALONG THE MO/AR BORDER TO A LOW PRESSURE EAST OF P28... NEAR THE DRYLINE INTERSECTION... W/V IMAGERY AND VWP DATA INDICATES SHRT-WV/SPEED MAX CURRENTLY TRAVERSING TX... LEE SIDE CYCLOGENISIS HAS BEEN REALIZED NEAR CV2...

AS A RESULT OF AFOREMENTIONED SHRT-WV... DRYLINE IS RETURING NORTH... WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION NOTED SW OF CDS...

ONGOING CONVECTION OVER AR/NE TX/NW LA WILL CONTINUE EAST INTO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER... WHERE MUCAPE 1500-2000j/kg IS CURRENTLY ANALYIZED... WEAK INVERSION IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE... HOWEVER REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW...

-WARNER
...WFO... LZK-SHV-FTW-MEM-TSA-MEM